Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.516869 1.771613 2.036418 2.330725 2.647235 2.976071 3.342239
2024-12-29 1.148468 1.506039 1.899705 2.358834 2.873714 3.428108 4.065200
2025-01-05 0.939477 1.345237 1.811014 2.372263 3.018693 3.729975 4.562448
2025-01-12 0.750640 1.180787 1.696249 2.337332 3.094190 3.943229 4.952797
2025-01-19 0.676165 1.142228 1.718605 2.451416 3.331017 4.330241 5.530420
2025-01-26 0.618989 1.117026 1.750667 2.571781 3.571195 4.718341 6.107469
2025-02-02 0.577610 1.106447 1.796295 2.704844 3.823529 5.118458 6.696863
2025-02-09 0.549981 1.110583 1.857821 2.855406 4.095432 5.540653 7.311527
2025-02-16 0.502480 1.080517 1.870599 2.941687 4.287151 5.867008 7.813885
2025-02-23 0.440217 1.021426 1.839669 2.968428 4.402997 6.101300 8.207053
2025-03-02 0.350128 0.907932 1.726575 2.882693 4.374704 6.159679 8.390259
2025-03-09 0.276702 0.810114 1.627619 2.809226 4.356689 6.226392 8.579832
2025-03-16 0.217695 0.730531 1.553698 2.771743 4.390086 6.364124 8.866046
2025-03-23 0.183330 0.690749 1.536184 2.809938 4.520645 6.622008 9.298663
2025-03-30 0.148905 0.643377 1.502522 2.822233 4.614820 6.832751 9.672398
2025-04-06 0.110966 0.578571 1.436042 2.784609 4.641120 6.957621 9.941060
2025-04-13 0.104200 0.584792 1.483908 2.909911 4.882247 7.350458 10.535739
2025-04-20 0.099090 0.594137 1.536648 3.042271 5.133020 7.755858 11.146456
2025-04-27 0.096332 0.609029 1.598593 3.188153 5.402161 8.184819 11.786660
2025-05-04 0.096390 0.631373 1.673280 3.352939 5.697021 8.646702 12.467900
2025-05-11 0.087080 0.626016 1.700050 3.447207 5.897422 8.989874 13.004251
2025-05-18 0.070960 0.596615 1.683467 3.476404 6.009658 9.221422 13.403609
2025-05-25 0.045172 0.524634 1.586703 3.382761 5.953420 9.237919 13.537309